The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc.
Financials · Diversified Banks
Structural: top-6 US bank by assets (~$560B), commercial-banking heavy (C&I + CRE ~55% of loans), national footprint across 29 states post-BBVA US 2021. Deposit franchise is the moat - ~$420B in deposits, ~30% non-interest-bearing, granular small-business + retail base in Pittsburgh/Philadelphia/Cleveland/Mid-Atlantic legacy markets.
Sits in the regional-bank tier above truist $TFC and below money-centers $JPM $BAC $WFC $C.
- NIM tailwind as fixed-rate securities + loans reprice higher into 2026-2027 (~$80B repricing schedule disclosed)
- BBVA US synergies still flowing; Southwest/West expansion below national share
- Fee businesses (treasury mgmt, capital markets, AMG ~$190B AUM) less rate-sensitive than NII
- CET1 ~10.5%, capital return resumed; buyback authorization active
- Credit normalization not deterioration - NCOs running ~25bps, well below 2008/2020 stress
- CRE exposure (~$35B, ~12% of loans) office concentration is the visible overhang
- Regional-bank deposit beta higher than money-centers in a sustained-high-rate regime
- AOCI mark on HTM book still suppresses tangible book; sensitive to long-end rates
- No investment-banking optionality vs $JPM $MS $GS; fee growth capped by scale
- Regulatory: Category III bank - Basel III endgame capital floors hit harder than $JPM tier
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