MediaTek Inc. (ADR)
Information Technology · Semiconductors
Structural: #2 global mobile SoC by shipments behind $QCOM, dominant in mid-range Android via Dimensity, climbing into premium with 9400 (3nm $TSM). WiFi 7 / Bluetooth silicon ships inside $AAPL Macs (Broadcom-competitor wins), Chromebooks, and most consumer routers.
Automotive (Dimensity Auto with $NVDA partnership announced 2024) and edge-AI (NPU integration in flagship SoCs) are the second growth leg.
(1) Premium-Android share gains - Dimensity 9400 wins design slots historically locked to Snapdragon 8 Gen. (2) $NVDA automotive partnership pulls MediaTek into the cabin compute stack of next-gen vehicles. (3) WiFi 7 + edge-AI silicon attach inside the AI-PC and on-device LLM cycle.
(4) $TSM-leading-edge access at scale - N3/N2 capacity allocation is a moat. (5) Net cash balance sheet + sustained dividend.
(1) Smartphone TAM stagnant; share gains must offset unit weakness. (2) $QCOM Snapdragon X / 8 Elite ecosystem lock-in (modem IP, OEM relationships) caps premium upside. (3) China exposure (Oppo, Vivo, Xiaomi anchor customers) = geopolitical tail risk.
(4) $AVGO / $QCOM compete in WiFi/Bluetooth connectivity. (5) Margin compression risk if mid-range Android pricing collapses.
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