Theme
Space
Launch, satellite comms, earth observation.
0.414avg corr (252d)
7stocks
Weak co-movementStocks · key Fib levels
- ASTS$55.01last$66.00fib−16.7%vs fibanchored by AT&T · Verizon · Rakuten Mobile · Vodafone · US Space Development Agency
- ▸2024-09: Five BlueBird Block 1 satellites deployed via $SPCE Falcon 9 - largest commercial comms arrays ever in LEO
- ▸2024-05: $VZ definitive commercial agreement + $100M prepayment (gateway spectrum + revenue share)
- ▸2024-01: $T definitive commercial agreement through 2030 (US 850MHz lower band)
- ▸2023: Rakuten Mobile + Vodafone strategic agreements (Japan + EU/Africa footprint)
- ▸2024-11: $43M Space Development Agency prototype award (US gov non-MNO leg)
- ▸2026-01: Block 2 (FM1-FM5) first launch contracts signed with $SPCE + Blue Origin + ISRO
- BKSY$21.46last$29.00fib−26.0%vs fibanchored by National Reconnaissance Office (NRO) · National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency (NGA) · US Army · Indonesia Ministry of Defence · US Air Force
- ▸**2024 - NRO EOCL** (Electro-Optical Commercial Layer): 10-year framework contract, one of 3 awarded vendors alongside $MAXR and $PL
- ▸**2024 - NGA Luno A**: Analytic services contract via Spectra AI, multi-year
- ▸**2023 - Indonesia Ministry of Defence**: $50M+ satellite + ground-system deal (BlackSky Geospatial Solutions segment)
- ▸**2024 - Rocket Lab ($RKLB) launch services**: Multi-launch contract for Gen-3 Pelican constellation deployment
- ▸**Ongoing - US Army TITAN program** support contracts for tactical ground station intelligence integration
- PL$22.09last$36.00fib−38.6%vs fibanchored by NRO · NGA · German Federal Government (BKG) · undisclosed NATO ally · Bayer / Corteva (ag analytics resellers)
- ▸2026-Q1: Expanded NATO-ally defense contract, multi-year, eight-figure ACV (undisclosed counterparty)
- ▸2025: $230M seven-year Pelican-tasking + Dove-archive deal with an Asia-Pacific government customer
- ▸2024: NRO (National Reconnaissance Office) Electro-Optical Commercial Layer (EOCL) Tier-2 award
- ▸2024: NGA (National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency) Luno-A indefinite-delivery vehicle
- ▸2023: Multi-year German government Earth-observation contract via BKG
- ▸Ongoing: AI/ML data-licensing pilots with frontier-model labs (undisclosed)
- RKLB$67.35last$75.80fib−11.1%vs fibanchored by US Space Force · NASA · Space Development Agency · Globalstar · BlackSky · Synspective
- ▸**2025 - US Space Force NSSL Phase 3 Lane 1** - selected alongside $SPX, Blue Origin, ULA for national security launches; Neutron-conditional but validates DoD customer interest
- ▸**2024 - ESCAPADE (NASA Mars mission)** - two spacecraft built + launched on Blue Origin New Glenn; Space Systems credibility win
- ▸**2024 - Space Development Agency Tranche 2** - $515M contract for 18 satellite buses; multi-year recurring revenue
- ▸**2024 - Globalstar constellation** - $515M deal to build 17 satellites + ground systems (Apple-backed program)
- ▸**2023+ - recurring Electron manifest** - Synspective, BlackSky, HawkEye 360, Capella Space - small-sat operators using Electron as primary ride
- ▸**2025 - Neutron first flight target slipped to mid-2026** - Archimedes engine hot-fire ongoing at Stennis
- SATL$3.57last$7.00fib−49.0%vs fibanchored by US Department of Defense · NGA (National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency) · Saudi TAQNIA Space · Unnamed NATO intelligence agencies · Agricultural analytics partners (undisclosed)
- ▸**2023** - Multi-year contract with US Space Development Agency (SDA) for tasked sub-meter imagery; one of the first commercial EO vendors on the SDA approved list
- ▸**2022** - Announced strategic partnership with VanEck for satellite data products (non-exclusive)
- ▸**2022** - Partnership with Saudi Arabia's TAQNIA Space for regional EO distribution
- ▸**2021-2023** - Series of contracts with unnamed NATO-aligned intelligence customers for Ukraine-theater wide-area monitoring (referenced in earnings calls without disclosure of counterparty)
- ▸**2021** - Merger with CF Acquisition Corp (SPAC) at ~$850M pro forma enterprise value; raised ~$236M gross proceeds
- SIVE- last- fib
Ka-band beamforming ICs for LEO / MEO / GEO satcom terminals; pulled into a US defense prime via the York Space Systems / ALL.SPACE acquisition.
anchored by ALL.SPACE / York Space Systems (satcom + defense) · NVIDIA (DRIVE Hyperion LiDAR) · GlobalFoundries (silicon-photonics foundry partner) · O-Net + Enablence (co-packaged-optics light-source partners) · Tier-1 European telecom OEM (5G mmWave) · LEO satellite terminal OEMs- ▸**LEO satellite terminal design wins** - Sivers has disclosed engagements with multiple LEO ground-terminal makers for 60 GHz and Ka-band phased-array antenna modules targeting constellation broadband programs
- ▸**5G mmWave infrastructure** - beamforming IC supply agreements with radio unit manufacturers serving Tier-1 telecom operators deploying 28 GHz urban small cells
- ▸**Automotive radar modules** - 77/79 GHz front-end IC development agreements with automotive radar module suppliers for ADAS and Level 2+ driver-assistance systems
- ▸**Silicon photonics co-development** - Sivers Photonics unit engaged in co-packaged optics R&D partnerships targeting hyperscaler datacenter interconnect applications
- ▸**EU research grants** - repeated participation in Horizon Europe and Vinnova-funded projects for 6G and next-generation radar, validating IP but not yet generating material product revenue
- ▸**2026-06-09 : ALL.SPACE $8.2M order** - production order for 2027 multi-beam Ka-band beamforming ICs (multi-orbit LEO / MEO / GEO satcom); ALL.SPACE serves US Army / Navy and runs trials across Telesat / SES / Viasat networks
- ▸**York Space Systems (NYSE: YSS) acquiring ALL.SPACE** - pulls Sivers BFICs into a US defense prime supply chain (the design-in compounds beyond the single PO)
- ▸**2026-06 : GlobalFoundries silicon-photonics collaboration** - co-packaged optics (CPO), linear pluggable optics (LPO), and datacenter-interconnect architectures for AI infrastructure
- ▸**2026-03 : O-Net + Enablence external light source** - laser-array light-source modules supporting the CPO roll-out in AI datacenters and HPC systems
- ▸**NVIDIA DRIVE Hyperion LiDAR** - Sivers wireless content designed into the autonomous-driving sensor stack
- SPCX$131.11last- fib
Pure-play on space: reusable launch (Falcon / Starship) plus Starlink LEO broadband. The defining name of the public space theme.
anchored by NASA · US Space Force / Department of Defense · commercial satellite operators · Starlink consumer + enterprise + government- ▸**2026-05-20** : SEC S-1 filed (reg 333-296070, CIK 1181412); S-1/A on 2026-06-01
- ▸**2026-06-04** : IPO roadshow begins
- ▸**2026-06-11** : IPO prices (expected)
- ▸**2026-06-12** : Nasdaq debut (expected), ticker SPCX
- ▸**Terms** : 555.6M Class A shares at a fixed $135.00; ~$75B raised at a ~$1.77T valuation : the largest IPO in history (>3x Alibaba)
- ▸**Listing** : Nasdaq + Nasdaq Texas, Class A common (dual-class structure, Musk super-voting)
- ▸**Business** : Falcon 9 / Falcon Heavy reusable launch; Starlink LEO broadband (millions of subscribers); Starship in development
- ▸**Customers** : NASA, US Space Force / DoD, commercial satellite operators, Starlink consumer + enterprise + government
Co-movement matrix (252d)
ASTS | BKSY | PL | RKLB | SATL | SIVE | SPCX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASTS | · | 0.68 | 0.50 | 0.73 | 0.52 | - | 0.15 |
| BKSY | 0.68 | · | 0.59 | 0.71 | 0.60 | - | -0.15 |
| PL | 0.50 | 0.59 | · | 0.58 | 0.49 | - | -0.02 |
| RKLB | 0.73 | 0.71 | 0.58 | · | 0.52 | - | 0.20 |
| SATL | 0.52 | 0.60 | 0.49 | 0.52 | · | - | 0.08 |
| SIVE | - | - | - | - | - | · | - |
| SPCX | 0.15 | -0.15 | -0.02 | 0.20 | 0.08 | - | · |
About themes
Themes are editorial groupings - narrative buckets used for technical screens. They exist alongside bubbles, which are validated empirically by capital-flow co-movement.
When a theme's avg correlation is high, the editorial story is also tradeable as a bloc. When it's low, the narrative groups stocks that don't actually move together - useful for thinking, less useful for trading.
Related research
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X-FAB and Sivers: two broken parabolas, and why we didn't buy the dip
Frequently asked questions
- What are the top stocks in the Space theme?
- QuantAbundancia's Space theme tracks 7 stocks ranked editorially: ASTS, BKSY, PL, RKLB, SATL, SIVE, SPCX.
- Do Space stocks move together?
- The Space theme has a 252-day average correlation of 0.41 across its members - weak co-movement. Editorial themes are narrative groupings, not capital-flow validated; tradability follows correlation, not the story.