Enovix Corporation
Industrials · Electrical Equipment
Structural: Pure-play silicon-anode battery manufacturer in a market where energy density per cell volume is the binding constraint on smartphone, AR/VR, and wearable form factors. TAM expansion is gated on OEM qualification cycles (12-24 months) and Malaysia Fab2 yield ramp on Agility Line then High-Volume Line.
- Custom smartphone program with top-5 handset OEM signed 2025; first revenue shipments targeted late 2026
- Fab2 Malaysia Agility Line operational; lower-cost Asia footprint vs Fremont
- Defense / IoT design wins expanding ($NOC, $LMT prime customers via subcontracts; SAIC, US Army contracts)
- Silicon-anode is the only credible near-term path to >800 Wh/L for thin-form-factor consumer electronics
- Cash runway extended via 2025 converts; mgmt guides positive gross margin on HVL
- Burned through Fab1 thesis (Fremont downscaled, multiple ex-CEOs); execution credibility low
- Negative gross margin through 2026; revenue still de-minimis vs $1.6B mkt cap
- Competitors ($AMPX, Sila, Group14) all chasing same OEM slots; winner-take-most dynamics
- Custom smartphone customer unnamed; concentration risk + qualification slippage = pattern
- Convertible dilution stack overhangs equity; shares out grew ~40% since 2023
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